Asian equities surged to a record high, driven by technology shares, while oil prices fluctuated and precious metals climbed. The ousting of Venezuela's president introduced a geopolitical flashpoint, but markets largely digested the news, with traders refocusing on rate paths and liquidity conditions.
Emerging-market bonds are poised for support in 2026, driven by increasing local investor ownership. These domestic holders, less exposed to currency risk, are proving more resilient. This shift, with China, Mexico, and Indonesia leading, signifies maturing financial markets and a more stable outlook for the asset class.
Benchmark indices reached new all-time highs as 2026 trading commenced, fueling stock-specific action. Traders carried forward bullish bets and reduced bearish positions in select stock futures for the January series. Several stocks, including UNO Minda, Tata Power, and Varun Beverages, are showing strong momentum and are poised for significant movement.
The Nifty has broken out of a five-week consolidation, signaling a resumption of its uptrend and is expected to rally towards 26,800 in January. Analysts suggest buying on dips as long as the index holds above key support levels, with positive momentum indicators supporting the bullish outlook.
Emerging markets veteran Mark Mobius, with 30% of his portfolio in India, believes the country will outperform China in 2026 due to economic reforms and a sourcing shift. He advises caution and capital preservation, holding 20% cash and using put options for downside protection amidst global uncertainty.
Global tensions may weaken the Indian rupee this week. Experts predict volatility due to US actions in Venezuela. The rupee has already declined. The Reserve Bank of India's upcoming swap operation on January 13 will be crucial. Foreign investor outflows and trade deficits also impact the currency's performance.
President Trumps plan to take control of Venezuelas oil industry and ask American companies to revitalize it after capturing President Nicolás Maduro isnt likely to have an immediate impact on oil prices.
