Rising inflation has hit the headlines, sparking some attention from journalists. What most mainstream investors dont realize, though, is that history shows inflation can quickly get out of control, and not just in some mismanaged third-world country. Surprise spikes in inflation have occurred right here in the USand given the massive amount of currency dilution around the world over the past decade, a jump in inflation could easily kick in again.
I have (somewhat cynically) noted that the less investors have been thinking, the better their investment performance must have been over the past decade. Could it be that our intellect actually gets in the way of making good investment decisions? When it comes to trying to project what influence politics has on investments, this may well be the case.
Weiner characterizes as "conspiracy theorists" those who complain about gold price suppression. Perhaps he will explain in his next commentary what it is when government officials meet secretly to decide and implement a course of action. Conspiracy is defined by the Federal Reserve Board's monthly meetings in Washington to the monthly meetings of the board of the BIS in Basle, Switzerland. Weiner should try attending one of those meetings.
The major long-term driver of the gold price is confidence in the official money and in the institutions (governments, central banks and private banks) that create/promote/sponsor the official money. As far as long-term investors are concerned the gold story is therefore a simple one: gold will be in a bull market when confidence in the financial establishment (money, banks and government) is in a bear market and gold will be in a bear market when confidence in the financial establishment is in a bull market.